We shouldn’t overreact, as Berger points out none of the relevant appointments have been made. It’s still a stunning report with huge implications. Here’s the full quote:
To be clear we are *far* from anything being settled, but based on what I’m hearing it seems at least 50-50 that NASA’s Space Launch System rocket will be canceled. Not Block 1B. Not Block 2. All of it. There are other ways to get Orion to the Moon.
Boeing actually wants to keep SLS despite selling off some parts of their space division. SLS is still a juicy cost plus contract that they can milk no matter how slow and over budget they are.
I’m not going to do the math on these, but Orion on a New Glenn or the “Bridenstine Stack” Falcon Heavy + Centaur would be cool.