In Nate Silver’s electoral forecast, Trump is now leading Harris by 6.5% to win the electoral college.
This final stretch is eerily similar to Clinton/Trump.
I would appreciate people not knee-jerk downvoting this post just because they don’t like what it implies. It’s worth being aware that Trump has been steadily gaining for a month, Harris has been losing ground, and this model now has her likely to lose. Ignoring these facts makes it difficult to do anything about them.
I don’t know what I’m missing here, but I don’t see numbers for the race at the link provided. I just see national polling numbers.
The raw numbers aren’t directly on that post, we just have this - which mentions the model’s avg crafted from statewide polls is 1.9 vs 1.3 from the national polls.
Scroll down to the subtitle posted as the post title. It’s roughly the fourth poll on the page. Sorry, I didn’t know how to link it directly to that poll.
I can’t figure out what you mean. The subtitle in the lemmy post goes to the same place. Within the article I dont see a link elsewhere.
… it’s the 4th poll on the page. It’s also the 6th graph. I don’t know what else to tell you.