I don’t believe RCP tries to judge pollsters accuracy at all, they just throw it into an average and call it done. So they get flooded by bad rightwing polls and end up saying Republicans are winning while places like 538 say the opposite. The NYT polling averages someone else posted have Harris up in NV, WI, and PA, which flips the race.
Real clear politics still has trump with 297 electoral votes. Long way to go. I certainly like how things have been trending lately though.
Am I missing something? I just checked and it seems like it is currently showing:
Harris 208
Toss Ups 111
Trump/Vance 219
This is what I got. I see the difference. This is with no tossups.
I don’t believe RCP tries to judge pollsters accuracy at all, they just throw it into an average and call it done. So they get flooded by bad rightwing polls and end up saying Republicans are winning while places like 538 say the opposite. The NYT polling averages someone else posted have Harris up in NV, WI, and PA, which flips the race.