• 52fighters@lemmy.sdf.org
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    2 days ago

    Ukraine maintained every part of the Minsk agreement reasonable to keep while Russia was in blatant violation of the agreement. Russia agreed to a withdraw of military forces from Ukraine (including the Dombass region) and refused to do so after signing the agreement. This constrained what Ukraine could reasonably do under the circumstances. To Russia, the agreements were a hiatus in a bigger fight.

    The LPR and DPR are not recognized as legitimate entities under the Minsk Agreements. They were added without consent by Ukraine after Ukraine had already signed the agreement.

    Russia, what they gain is security

    Yes, now bombs fall on Russian cities, power plants go dark, and refineries are on fire.

    if this is for “vainglory,” why limit it to the Donbass region

    Russia has already expanded their territorial claims beyond the Dombass.

    Russia has proven capable of fighting an attrition war that Ukraine cannot

    Neither side is doing well. If Russia was capable, they’d be gaining more than a few meters every day.

    Russian population benefiting massively from strengthened ties with China

    Russian demographics are in the toilet and friendship with China isn’t going to help.

    Russia has been strengthened economically

    A wartime economy produces encouraging economic figures but cannot be sustained and, when the war produces this kind of strain, the post-war economy is economic collapse. The war has to end someday and it will be ugly for the Russian people when that happens.

    • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
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      2 days ago

      Ukraine broke the Minsk agreements, and Russia recognized that the agreements weren’t worth anything then. Pretty clear-cut. Russia’s economy is being strengthened not just by temporary wartime economics, but also by being further embedded in Chinese trade, as well as increased cooperation with the global south. Russia’s desire for the four oblasts has been consistent, and they have been steadily gaining territory month over month as war in Ukraine becomes increasingly unpopular.

      You have proven nothing regarding the war being about “vainglory” or “mass expansion,” these are absurdities one must conjure out of thin-air in order to treat Russia not as a country of humans but instead as a saturday morning cartoon villian. This is Marvel-movie style analysis of complex geopolitical interactions.