The primary telegram and some alts were banned in America. I’d be surprised if this were an op rather than a reposter, given that they’ve reposted accurate statements in the past

For the longest time I’ve maintained this alt psychohistoric theory that the defeat of MENA socialism was a greater tragedy then the fall of the Soviet Union

A West Asian/North Africa Soviet Union would’ve in all likelihood succeeded where the North Eurasian Union had failed; just in terms of greater population size, strategic placement and access, easier logistics for material support to African and Asian liberation movements and of course control of most of the worlds energy and fertilizer reserves

It could’ve been the Strategy of the central position manifested on a global scale, breaking capitalism into two isolated and energy starved hemispheres, it’s no wonder the US state department and its clients have obsessively kept the region shattered for 75 years

I’m 100% good now, that’s all pretty much well behind me. But I do have smoke for all the damage to the world that this movement I once was a part of has done and continues to do.

I mean, it could also just be because they’re Jews /s

they uncovered the oldest vault

Can’t wait for the release of Punished Deepseek.

Because they like it. Trump is acting presidential as hell!

Liberals in power don’t actually believe trump is a Russian asset and traitor, or else he would have been shot and dumped in the ocean long ago. They keep up the narrative because it’s a way to pressure Trump to take more aggressive stances against Russia (and an excuse to scapegoat any failures of the Democrats to an external force). So this just vindicates their strategy, their strategy worked. Trump is being more aggressive than even Biden was, Russiagate did its job.

Expecting the libs to reverse course at this point is missing the point of the entire thing and taking their hypocrisy and cynicism at face value instead of seeing its utility.

I think the main rhetoric is that Putin has gotten what he wanted and has now dumped Trump. This narrative will reverse as soon as convenient.

The Typhon launchers you mentioned + Rouge Fires (four wheeled unmanned ground vehicle capable of launching a single TLAM) can launch TLAMs. Though the Marines cancelled the TLAM capable Rouge Fires.

The key part of the Typhon is the Mk 70 Payload Delivery System, which is a large shipping container containing four Mk 41 Vertical Launch System canisters, the same VLS used to launch TLAMs from inside guided missile destroyers/cruisers, but inside a shipping container. The US equivalent to the Russian Club-K system, but a lot bigger. The Mk 70 containers are also designed to be deployed on the rear decks of littoral ships to give them TLAM capability. Sending a bunch of Mk 70 containerised systems to Ukraine is not a complicated endeavour, should the decision be made. Some Mk 41 VLS canisters could also be given standalone, the US conducted a ground launched TLAM test right after exiting the INF treaty with some standalone Mk 41 VLS canisters. If Ukraine were to get SM-6, it would be launched from Mk 41 VLS canisters, they don’t have the aircraft to launch them, as you said. The anti ship version of the JASSM, the LRASM, can also be launched from Mk 41 VLS canisters.

JASSM launches should possible, if Ukraine can launch Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG cruise missiles from Su-24s, they can launch JASSMs from F-16s. High altitude launch from the rear lines while being escorted by other aircraft with anti radiation missiles to suppress ground based air defence. F-16s, along with MiG 29s and Su-27s, have been used for low altitude frontline bombing runs with glide bombs and rocket assisted bombs (GBU-39s for the F-16 in particular), the aircraft approaches at low altitude, quickly climbs, lobs the bombs, and quickly descends. High risk missions and the maximum range of the bombs is quite limited. The F-16s have been doing this for months, and one aircraft has been lost to Russian ground based air defence. Two other F-16s have been lost on air defence missions, and one was lost to friendly fire.

ATACMS, exact numbers are unknown. However, by the time Ukraine was allowed to strike into internationally recognised Russian territory by the Biden administration, they had already expended the vast majority of ATACMS, and only had around 50-60 left. They only have 15-20 left now. The concern is that more ATACMS are delivered, without any restrictions.

Fully agree with you on PrSM, I think it’s quite unlikely. But the hypothetical possibly is still there.

Ukraine has already hit Moscow, multiple times. But crucially, with Ukrainian made and operated weapons, mainly Ukrainian one way attack drones and cruise missiles. Germany just financed the manufacturing of 500 such weapons, speculated to be AN-196 Liutyi one way attack drones that will be operational at the end of this month. The big difference would be US made, and operated to an extent, weapons being used to hit Moscow. That would be the large escalation. But although this is under consideration, these weapons haven’t been sent yet.

As for Russia holding back, yes Russia hasn’t given every male between the ages of 18-35 a gun and forced them into the trenches in Ukraine, and haven’t turned every factory into a tank factory, a full existential wartime state. But is this a feasible option? And yes Russia has not used nuclear weapons. But what would the repercussions of such a move be? I think if Russia goes nuclear, even with tactical nuclear weapons, India and China would not be impressed, to say the least.

It looks like, at least for now, weapons with the range to hit Moscow are not being sent to Ukraine, but that could change at any time if the TLAMs are under serious consideration. Or if JASSM-ERs are given, or PrSMs.

My main question or worry is how would Russia respond? If the US made long range weapons are delivered to Ukraine through presidential drawdown authority (seperate from the aid deal announced yesterday, and seperate from the proposed agreement mentioned by the Financial Times), there is zero European involvement, it would be US made, operated to an extent, and funded weapons. So directly responding to Europe would be off of the table. Would Russia directly respond to the USA? As for responding in Ukraine, how would Russia escalate further beyond what is already being done or already planned?

There’s obviously the nuclear option, but I can’t see it being deployed.

There is consensus however, that Israeli and US aircraft were able to penetrate deeply into Iranian airspace. Even if the bombs dropped on Natanz and Fordow were ineffective, a B-2 bomber still had to be right above the facility to drop the bomb. Iranian media (Fars news) is now reporting that Israel tried to assassinate the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, and by extension the Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, while they were in Tehran on the 16th June, similar to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. This means, by Iran’s own admission, that Israeli aircraft were flying over Tehran within 72 hours of the start of the war and attempting to assassinate top officials.

Which is the point I’m making. Many people in the alt media space, both on the left and right, were talking about how Israeli aircraft would never penetrate Iranian airspace, that the F-35s would be shot down and were piles of rusty junk, that Iran would shoot down the B-2 bombers over the nuclear sites as the B-2 would be right above them, that striking Iranian nuclear facilities would start WW3, etc. Trump would’ve been listening to right wingers in his circle, like Loomer and Gabbard for instance, that thought along these lines. None of that materialised. This will embolden the warhawk and neocon faction in Trump’s circle, and Trump is likely to trust them more and sideline the likes of Loomer and Gabbard.

Israel is using this to destroy HTS armoured divisions, and bomb whatever they want.

Flashbacks to December. Israelis have an ideological predisposition to bomb hospitals

It’s definitely moving fast. SDF have allegedly begun to mobilize, as rumors of Israel ceasing bombing spread. Praying for civilians in Syria at this point

https://t.me/jharnous/8194

Revolution is scary and impractical so it makes sense that much of the western left is so willing to constantly throw itself behind even hypothetical movements.

Not hating on OP, moreso folks like the SWP that were sidelined from involvement with this potential party and are still trying to act like the trotskyists will be able to seize Whitehall through an act of parliament.

It isnt registered legally. Corbyn was recently a speaker at the Durham Miner’s Gala and didn’t utter a word about it. Oh, and it already has wreckers leaking messages to the press.

Corbs is apparently pissed off at Zarah Sultana for announcing it and was telling her to take the post down. Also seems to he pissed off that Zarah said shit about it being a co-leader syatem when he hasn’t agreed to it. Depending on who you ask it’s either coz Corbyn doesn’t like co-leader systems or coz he wants to run the show himself.

I’m gonna vote for anything that isnt fash anyway, but I think this stuff is too early to call because there’s a lot of ratfucking and liberalism that will need to be addressed. The insistence on forming a party against the Greens seems like a big risk too. Our FPTP system is so fucked that they’ll need well over half the vote to have a good chance at forming a cohesive govt. And even then, I’m not sure if the ratfucking would stop.

The Corbyn party is still hypothetical, nothing has been formalised yet. The 15% is purely based on his name recognition / hate for other parties. I assume when they create an actual program and campaign the polling would change a lot